Outbreak.info genomic reports: scalable and dynamic surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 variants and mutations (preprint)

The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern has prompted the need for near real-time genomic surveillance to inform public health interventions. In response to this need, the global scientific community, through unprecedented effort, has sequenced and shared over 11 million genomes through GISAID, as of May 2022. This extraordinarily high sampling rate provides a unique opportunity to track the evolution of the virus in near real-time. Here, we present outbreak.info, a platform that currently tracks over 40 million combinations of PANGO lineages and individual mutations, across over 7,000 locations, to provide insights for researchers, public health officials, and the general public. We describe the interpretable and opinionated visualizations in the variant and location focussed reports available in our web application, the pipelines that enable the scalable ingestion of heterogeneous sources of SARS-CoV-2 variant data, and the server infrastructure that enables widespread data dissemination via a high performance API that can be accessed using an R package. We present a case study that illustrates how outbreak.info can be used for genomic surveillance and as a hypothesis generation tool to understand the ongoing pandemic at varying geographic and temporal scales. With an emphasis on scalability, interactivity, interpretability, and reusability, outbreak.info provides a template to enable genomic surveillance at a global and localized scale.

Global disparities in SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance (preprint)

Genomic sequencing provides critical information to track the evolution and spread of SARS-CoV-2, optimize molecular tests, treatments and vaccines, and guide public health responses. To investigate the spatiotemporal heterogeneity in the global SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, we estimated the impact of sequencing intensity and turnaround times (TAT) on variant detection in 167 countries. Most countries submit genomes >21 days after sample collection, and 77% of low and middle income countries sequenced <0.5% of their cases. We found that sequencing at least 0.5% of the cases, with a TAT <21 days, could be a benchmark for SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance efforts. Socioeconomic inequalities substantially impact our ability to quickly detect SARS-CoV-2 variants, and undermine the global pandemic preparedness. One-Sentence SummarySocioeconomic inequalities impacted the SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance, and undermined the global pandemic preparedness.

Clinical and Virological Features of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern: A Retrospective Cohort Study Comparing B.1.1.7 (Alpha), B.1.315 (Beta), and B.1.617.2 (Delta) (preprint)

Background: The impact of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) on disease severity is unclear. In this retrospective cohort study, we compared outcomes of patients infected with B.1.1.7, B.1.351, and B.1.617.2 with those with wild-type strains from early 2020.Methods: National surveillance data from 1-January-2021 to 22-May-2021 were obtained from the Ministry of Health, and outcomes in relation to VOC were explored. Detailed patient level data from all SARS-CoV-2 patients with VOC infection admitted to our centre between 20-December-2020 and 12-May-2021 were analysed. Outcomes were compared with a cohort of 846 patients admitted January-April 2020.Findings: There were 838 VOC infections in Singapore in the study period. After adjusting for age and gender, B.1.617.2 infection was associated with higher odds of oxygen requirement, ICU admission, or death (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 4·90, [95% CI 1·43-30·78]. 157 patients with VOCs were admitted to our centre. After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidities, and vaccination, aOR for pneumonia with B.1.617.2 was 1·88 [95% CI 0·95-3·76]) compared with wild-type. B.1.617.2 was associated with significantly lower PCR Ct values and significantly longer duration of Ct value ≤30 (estimated median duration 18 days for B.1.617.2, 13 days for wild-type). Vaccine breakthrough cases were less severe.Interpretation: There was a signal toward increased severity associated with B.1.617.2. The association of B.1.617.2 with lower Ct value and longer viral shedding provides a potential mechanism for increased transmissibility. These findings provide a strong impetus for the rapid implementation of vaccination programmes.Funding Information: National Medical Research Council grants COVID19RF-001 and COVID19RF-008.Declaration of Interests: BEY reports personal fees from Roche and Sanofi, outside the submitted work. All other authors declare no competing interests.Ethics Approval Statement: Informed consent for retrospective data collection was waived as approved by the institutional review board (NHG-DSRB reference number 2020/01122).

VaNGuard assay protocol for SARS-CoV-2 detection (preprint)

This protocol presents the Variant Nucleotide Guard (VaNGuard) assay, which is robust towards viral mutations and can be performed on purified RNA or directly on nasopharyngeal (NP) swab samples. The procedure typically comprises three parts, namely sample preparation, RT-LAMP reaction, and Cas12a-based detection via fluorescence or lateral flow assay. Sample preparation from NP swabs involves Proteinase K digestion followed by heat inactivation. Purified RNA or digested NP swab samples are then added as templates into RT-LAMP reactions and incubated at 65ºC for 22 minutes. Next, enAsCas12a and ssDNA-probes are added and the reactions are incubated at 60ºC for another 5 minutes. End-point fluorescence can be detected by a plate reader or a real-time PCR machine. Alternatively, a lateral flow strip can be inserted into each reaction tube for equipment-free read-out. The VaNGuard assay is a rapid and convenient point-of-care test for SARS-CoV-2 and is applicable to resource poor settings. 

Association of SARS-CoV-2 Clades with Clinical, Inflammatory and Virologic Outcomes: An Observational Study (preprint)

Background: Host determinants of severe coronavirus disease 2019 include advanced age, comorbidities and male sex. Virologic factors may also be important in determining clinical outcome and transmission rates, but limited patient-level data is available. Methods: We conducted an observational cohort study at seven public hospitals in Singapore. Clinical and laboratory data were collected and compared between individuals infected with different SARS-CoV-2 clades. Firth’s logistic regression was used to examine the association between SARS-CoV-2 clade and development of hypoxia, and quasi-Poisson regression to compare transmission rates. Plasma samples were tested for immune mediator levels and the kinetics of viral replication in cell culture were compared. Findings: 319 patients with PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection had clinical and virologic data available for analysis. 29 (9%) were infected with clade S, 90 (28%) with clade L/V, 96 (30%) with clade G (containing D614G variant), and 104 (33%) with other clades ‘O’ were assigned to lineage B.6. After adjusting for age and other covariates, infections with clade S (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0·030 (95% confidence intervals (CI): 0·0002-0·29)) or clade O (B·6) (aOR 0·26 (95% CI 0·064-0·93)) were associated with lower odds of developing hypoxia requiring supplemental oxygen compared with clade L/V. Patients infected with clade L/V had more pronounced systemic inflammation with higher concentrations of pro-inflammatory cytokines, chemokines and growth factors. No significant difference in the severity of clade G infections was observed (aOR 0·95 (95% CI: 0·35-2·52). Though viral loads were significantly higher, there was no evidence of increased transmissibility of clade G, and replicative fitness in cell culture was similar for all clades. Interpretation: Infection with clades L/V was associated with increased severity and more systemic release of pro-inflammatory cytokines. Infection with clade G was not associated with changes in severity, and despite higher viral loads there was no evidence of increased transmissibility.Funding Statement: This study was funded by grants from the Singapore National Medical Research Council (COVID19RF- 001, COVID19RF2-0001, COVID19RF-007, and COVID19RF-60) and Biomedical Research Council (project number H20/04/g1/006).Declaration of Interests: No conflicts of interest declared.Ethics Approval Statement: The epidemiological investigation was conducted under the Infectious Diseases Act (Singapore). Study protocols were approved by ethics committees of the National Healthcare Group and SingHealth. Written informed consent was obtained from participants for clinical data and biological sample collection as part of the PROTECT study (2012/00917; 2018/3045). A waiver of informed consent for retrospective data collection only was granted for individuals admitted to the National Centre of Infectious Diseases (2020/01122). Healthy donor samples were collected under study numbers 2017/2806 and NUS IRB 04-140.

A COVID-19 Nursing Home Cluster Linked to a Household Transmission: An Epidemiological, Clinical and Phylogenetic Investigation (preprint)

Background: Residents in nursing homes are at risk of high morbidity and mortality due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We report the first nursing home COVID-19 outbreak linked to a nursing staff’s household transmission through clinical, epidemiological, laboratory and phylogenetic investigations.Methods: Serial point prevalence testing was conducted among the residents and staff following identification of the index case (a symptomatic resident) with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Active contact tracing, screening of close contacts, whole genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis were conducted to identify the source and extent of the outbreak.Results: Among the 108 residents and 56 healthcare workers (HCW) in the nursing home, 14 (13%) residents and two (3.6%) HCW were diagnosed with COVID-19, with case fatality rate of 28.6% (4/14) among the residents. Five residents were symptomatic (35.7%) and the others were asymptomatic (64.3%) before the point prevalence survey. The genomic virus typing in this nursing home outbreak was lineage B.6 which is rare among other GISAID clades globally but common regionally. Among the family contacts of the two infected healthcare workers, only one member was infected and had recent travel history.Interpretation: Nursing staffs can be a potential source of infection in nursing home. Through prompt active case finding, and infection prevention and control measures, the outbreak can be contained. Minimising community and household contacts among nursing care staffs may reduce the risk of SARS-CoV-2 introduction into nursing home.Funding: None.Conflict of Interest: The authors declared no conflict of interest.Ethical Approval: Data were collected under the Infectious Disease Act for outbreak investigation and approved by Ministry of Health, Singapore.

Reducing spread of COVID-19 in closed environments: an outbreak investigation and modelling study in dormitory settings (preprint)

Starting with a handful of SARS-CoV-2 infections in dormitory residents in late March 2020, rapid tranmission in their dense living environments ensued and by October 2020, more than 50,000 acute infections were identified across various dormitories. Extensive epidemiological, serological and phylogentic investigations, supported by simulation models, helped to reveal the factors of transmission and impact of control measures in a dormitory. We find that asymptomatic cases and symptomatic cases who did not seek medical attention were major drivers of the outbreak. Furthermore, each resident has about 30 close contacts and each infected resident spread to 4.4 (IQR 3.5–5.3) others at the start of the outbreak. The final attack rate of the current outbreak was 76.2% (IQR 70.6%–98.0%) and could be reduced by further 10% under a modified dormitory housing condition. These findings are important when designing living environments in a post COVID-19 future to reduce disease spread and facilitate rapid implementation of outbreak control measures.

A COVID-19 Nursing Home Cluster Linked to a Household Transmission: An Epidemiological, Clinical and Phylogenetic Investigation (preprint)

Backgroun:d Residents in nursing homes are at risk of high morbidity and mortality due to coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We report the first nursing home COVID-19 outbreak in Singapore and its clinical, epidemiological, laboratory and phylogenetic investigations.Methods: Serial point prevalence testing was conducted among the residents and staff following identification of the index case (a symptomatic resident) with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Active contact tracing, screening of close contacts, whole genome sequencing and phylogenetic analysis were conducted to identify the source and extent of the outbreak.Results: Among the 108 residents and 56 healthcare workers (HCW) in the nursing home, 14 (13%) residents and two (3.6%) HCW were diagnosed with COVID-19, with case fatality rate of 28.6% (4/14) among the residents. Five residents were symptomatic (35.7%) and the others were asymptomatic (64.3%) before the point prevalence survey. The genomic virus typing in this nursing home outbreak was lineage B.6 which is rare among other GISAID clades globally but common regionally. Among the family contacts of the two infected healthcare workers, only one member was infected and had recent travel history.Conclusion: The COVID-19 outbreak in a nursing home in Singapore was contained through prompt epidemiological investigations, active case finding and containment, and infection prevention and control measures.Funding Statement: None.Declaration of Interests: The authors declared no conflict of interest.Ethics Approval Statement: Data were collected under the Infectious Disease Act for outbreak investigation and approved by Ministry of Health, Singapore.

Neutralizing antibodies from early cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection offer cross-protection against the SARS-CoV-2 D614G variant. (preprint)

The emergence of a SARS-CoV-2 variant with a point mutation in the spike (S) protein, D614G, has taken precedence over the original Wuhan isolate by May 2020. With an increased infection and transmission rate, it is imperative to determine whether antibodies induced against the D614 isolate may cross-neutralize against the G614 variant. In this report, profiling of the anti-SARS-CoV-2 humoral immunity reveals similar neutralization profiles against both S protein variants, albeit waning neutralizing antibody capacity at the later phase of infection. These findings provide further insights towards the validity of current immune-based interventions.

Bivalent binding of a fully human IgG to the SARS-CoV-2 spike proteins reveals mechanisms of potent neutralization (preprint)

In vitro antibody selection against pathogens from naive combinatorial libraries can yield various classes of antigen-specific binders that are distinct from those evolved from natural infection1-4. Also, rapid neutralizing antibody discovery can be made possible by a strategy that selects for those interfering with pathogen and host interaction5. Here we report the discovery of antibodies that neutralize SARS-CoV-2, the virus responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic, from a highly diverse naive human Fab library. Lead antibody 5A6 blocks the receptor binding domain (RBD) of the viral spike from binding to the host receptor angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), neutralizes SARS-CoV-2 infection of Vero E6 cells, and reduces viral replication in reconstituted human nasal and bronchial epithelium models. 5A6 has a high occupancy on the viral surface and exerts its neutralization activity via a bivalent binding mode to the tip of two neighbouring RBDs at the ACE2 interaction interface, one in the "up" and the other in the "down" position, explaining its superior neutralization capacity. Furthermore, 5A6 is insensitive to several spike mutations identified in clinical isolates, including the D614G mutant that has become dominant worldwide. Our results suggest that 5A6 could be an effective prophylactic and therapeutic treatment of COVID-19.

Monoclonal antibodies for the S2 subunit of spike of SARS-CoV cross-react with the newly-emerged SARS-CoV-2 (preprint)

The emergence of a novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, at the end of 2019 has resulted in widespread human infections across the globe. While genetically distinct from SARS-CoV, the etiological agent that caused an outbreak of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) in 2003, both coronaviruses exhibit receptor binding domain (RBD) conservation and utilize the same host cell receptor, angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), for virus entry. Therefore, it will be important to test the cross-reactivity of antibodies that have been previously generated against the surface spike (S) glycoprotein of SARS-CoV in order to aid research on the newly emerged SARS-CoV-2. Here, we show that an immunogenic domain in the S2 subunit of SARS-CoV S is highly conserved in multiple strains of SARS-CoV-2. Consistently, four murine monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) raised against this immunogenic SARS-CoV fragment were able to recognise the S protein of SARS-CoV-2 expressed in a mammalian cell line. Importantly, one of them (mAb 1A9) was demonstrated to detect S in SARS-CoV-2-infected cells. To our knowledge, this is the first study showing that mAbs targeting the S2 domain of SARS-CoV can cross-react with SARS-CoV-2 and this observation is consistent with the high sequence conservation in the S2 subunit. These cross-reactive mAbs may serve as tools useful for SARS-CoV-2 research as well as for the development of diagnostic assays for its associated coronavirus disease COVID-19.